jardacross
0x9081bc66513ef745f2cf7cbe17a6f651d53af65e
- Realised P&L
- $-33.19
- Volume
- $793.97
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $29.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.45at 0.384Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$5.51at 0.390Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
- +$2.45at 0.091Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
- +$1.88at 0.680Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$1.84at 0.620Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 09:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 09:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998384 | $1.01 |
| 05-05 09:15 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.22 |
| 05-05 09:14 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.242 | $1.21 |
| 05-05 09:14 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | SELL | 0.73 | $2.11 |
| 05-05 09:13 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.67 |
| 05-01 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $0.12 |
| 05-01 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $1.04 |
| 05-01 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $1.18 |
| 05-01 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |