PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Magelan97

0x904c33389b909c0a8763b9393f45ec50ae622634

Realised P&L
$-228.94
Volume
$54.9k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$36.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? · No0.2090.250$11.93+$1.93
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.036$6.64$13.36
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.1340.047$5.26$9.74
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1200.075$3.75$2.25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0990.035$3.58$6.42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.6200.265$2.14$2.86
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0780.026$1.70$3.30
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0700.023$1.64$3.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 03:11UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2899999846$10.00
07-07 08:25UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.3399999967$50.00
06-12 21:03Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0048095236$10.00
06-11 22:04SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY0.4799999981$50.00
06-08 16:40Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUY0.1339999929$15.00
06-08 16:34Iran closes its airspace by June 30?SELL0.999$151.47
06-01 13:17Iran closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.250611021$38.00
05-23 20:53Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.3199433975$20.00
05-22 22:23Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.04$10.00
05-22 22:01Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?BUY0.013$6.00
05-22 21:55Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0059999994$10.00
05-22 17:27Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.001$35.00
05-21 12:16Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.002$11.00
05-17 18:51Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?BUY0.209999974$5.00
05-17 18:13Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?BUY0.5399999997$35.00