freshnew
0x8fb04166ab8e3d884fa0c93ed6c3979c5a7290d5
- Realised P&L
- $-43.69
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $4.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.88at 0.083Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?
- +$5.15at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$3.56at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$3.22at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$3.22at 0.756Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0841120788 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0224770427 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0098039216 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-05 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.729999743 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-03 16:24 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 13:32 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |