PolyBot

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Traders

freshnew

0x8fb04166ab8e3d884fa0c93ed6c3979c5a7290d5

Realised P&L
$-43.69
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$4.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 17:30Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 5?BUY0.0841120788$1.00
08-05 13:08Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.05$1.00
08-05 13:07Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.0224770427$1.00
08-05 13:07Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?SELL0.999$5.00
08-05 13:06Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 5?BUY0.0098039216$1.00
08-05 12:46Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-05 12:44Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7?BUY0.24$1.20
08-05 10:37Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6?BUY0.7$2.00
08-04 11:17Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.729999743$2.50
08-04 11:14Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
08-03 23:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.61$3.05
08-03 16:24Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.001$0.01
08-03 13:32Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-03 13:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4?SELL0.004$0.03
08-03 13:16Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.5699998233$1.00