gotlibhy
0x8f9c91b7822022d14c73a946f365f49ad2918838
- Realised P&L
- $-100.41
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $179.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.60at 0.340Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.00at 0.950Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?
- +$2.90at 0.420Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
- +$2.90at 0.420Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.55at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 11:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.08 |
| 07-31 11:34 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $42.30 |
| 07-30 03:26 | Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 07-30 03:26 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 07-30 03:21 | Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 07-30 03:21 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 07-27 05:38 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 07-27 05:38 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-27 05:11 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.80 |
| 07-27 05:11 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $12.30 |
| 07-27 04:49 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.76 |
| 07-27 04:49 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.20 |
| 07-23 22:00 | Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 07-22 04:16 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 07-22 04:16 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |