Barbodanial1
0x8eee954f18d66b73d2908bef8bbec6dfb51fd015
- Realised P&L
- $88.15
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $141.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.937 | 0.975 | $141.53 | +$5.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.80at 0.908Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?
- +$47.30at 0.894Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?
- +$42.42at 0.855Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?
- +$41.88at 0.708Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?
- +$41.54at 0.878Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9549103259 | $30.00 |
| 08-08 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9537971384 | $30.00 |
| 08-08 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $20.00 |
| 08-08 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9199999804 | $15.00 |
| 08-08 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9197240827 | $30.00 |
| 08-08 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.00 |
| 08-08 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.00 |
| 08-07 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8970099664 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8609756098 | $35.30 |
| 08-07 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8128469454 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7473672718 | $59.33 |
| 08-05 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.744047619 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8970099664 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.00 |