0x8ee78fdfa9af89558a740ba69cac19a26eec4b2a
- Realised P&L
- $-69.79
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 582
- Open portfolio
- $37.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded582
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.34at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 17?
- +$2.26at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?
- +$1.94at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?
- +$1.94at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
- +$1.64at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3499998349 | $1.06 |
| 08-05 10:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7299998445 | $1.08 |
| 08-05 10:03 | Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:03 | Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4299998175 | $1.06 |
| 08-05 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.55 |
| 08-05 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.14 |