PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

jacob16614

0x8ebb4b46a03b1ee53cd0dd21b27c37e5b61d45fc

Realised P&L
$-67.67
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
140
Open portfolio
$15.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded140
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8? · Yes0.5600.565$3.61+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7? · Yes0.2900.465$3.32+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7? · Yes0.6100.585$1.96$0.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? · Yes0.4200.365$1.79$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on August 7? · Yes0.0120.029$1.30+$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? · Yes0.0350.118$0.81+$0.57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 7? · Yes0.0120.018$0.75+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7? · Yes0.2100.145$0.72$0.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 6? · Yes0.0040.001$0.59$4.40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 7? · Yes0.0060.015$0.18+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 6? · Yes0.0640.003$0.18$3.67
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 7? · Yes0.0100.010$0.17+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on August 6? · Yes0.0010.001$0.08$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 7? · Yes0.0040.006$0.03+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 6? · Yes0.0010.001$0.03$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 23:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8?BUY0.5599999437$3.58
08-06 23:11Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7?BUY0.2099998809$1.04
08-06 22:38Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7?BUY0.6099999372$2.04
08-06 22:19Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?BUY0.4199999592$2.06
08-06 20:19Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?SELL0.46$10.93
08-06 18:08Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?BUY0.1725941982$3.06
08-06 16:11Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?BUY0.2120288691$1.33
08-06 16:07Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?BUY0.2104247669$3.67
08-06 13:13Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 6?BUY0.0801638905$1.63
08-06 11:46Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6?BUY0.2537692815$1.34
08-06 11:44Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6?BUY0.2399999437$2.56
08-06 11:43Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6?BUY0.2399998516$1.10
08-06 11:42Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6?BUY0.2$1.16
08-06 11:39Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6?BUY0.1845064335$1.77
08-06 11:27Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6?BUY0.1899999403$2.07