jacob16614
0x8ebb4b46a03b1ee53cd0dd21b27c37e5b61d45fc
- Realised P&L
- $-67.67
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $15.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.68at 0.114Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$18.71at 0.211Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?
- +$11.61at 0.284Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?
- +$7.82at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$7.52at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5599999437 | $3.58 |
| 08-06 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2099998809 | $1.04 |
| 08-06 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6099999372 | $2.04 |
| 08-06 22:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4199999592 | $2.06 |
| 08-06 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.46 | $10.93 |
| 08-06 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.1725941982 | $3.06 |
| 08-06 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2120288691 | $1.33 |
| 08-06 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2104247669 | $3.67 |
| 08-06 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.0801638905 | $1.63 |
| 08-06 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2537692815 | $1.34 |
| 08-06 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2399999437 | $2.56 |
| 08-06 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2399998516 | $1.10 |
| 08-06 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.16 |
| 08-06 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1845064335 | $1.77 |
| 08-06 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1899999403 | $2.07 |