OptionsWell
0x8e0f51088fa0f6840483619ef010bd7bb45403af
- Realised P&L
- $59.94
- Volume
- $38.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.792 | $3.6k | +$1.3k |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.207 | $947.45 | −$1.3k |
| Will Solana reach $90 in August? · No | 0.865 | 0.875 | $666.97 | +$7.62 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? · No | 0.910 | 0.959 | $2.99 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$235.88at 0.929Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
- +$191.51at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
- +$90.23at 0.905Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$79.66at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$42.09at 0.800Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 12:52 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | SELL | 0.89 | $10.68 |
| 07-30 15:18 | Will Solana dip to $60 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $520.25 |
| 06-25 13:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | SELL | 0.6994946289 | $358.14 |
| 06-25 13:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.364 | $217.31 |
| 06-15 15:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | SELL | 0.74 | $106.56 |
| 05-29 10:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | SELL | 0.941 | $164.66 |
| 05-23 14:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9620733591 | $996.71 |