Abrahamgf
0x8dffeba043e18d842407b4cb5fea95777772bab8
- Realised P&L
- $89.41
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $41.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.645 | $41.28 | +$15.68 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.24 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.66 |
| Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.76 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$503.98at 0.500Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$480.70at 0.500Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$391.64at 0.500Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$84.02at 0.640Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-31?
- +$44.12at 0.430Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:50 | Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.60 |
| 07-27 06:48 | Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.41 | $14.76 |
| 07-03 08:08 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.996 | $64.74 |
| 07-03 08:08 | Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | BUY | 0.42 | $30.24 |
| 07-03 08:07 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.20 |
| 06-11 09:33 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.43 | $33.28 |
| 06-08 08:01 | Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 11? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 08:01 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.97 |
| 06-08 08:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.01 |
| 06-08 08:00 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 06-08 08:00 | Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 11? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 07:59 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 06-08 07:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 06-04 08:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.024 | $24.29 |
| 06-04 08:58 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.996 | $30.85 |