Phase2Unknown
0x8d9ad875dca74b57c2aaf2ae5c870d1d8fde50db
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $807.1k
- Markets traded
- 5,204
- Open portfolio
- $81.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,204
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$389.00at 0.027Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
- +$371.80at 0.026Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$305.95at 0.044Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$294.00at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$294.00at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 18:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7423214269 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 18:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 18:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6193707159 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999972 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999972 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999972 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6917570175 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7013980491 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 17:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6350693165 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 17:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999922 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 17:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $25.00 |