Lastdance221919
0x8d936de2153731beda461b502f1516fdcd46b34d
- Realised P&L
- $-30.2k
- Volume
- $1.32M
- Markets traded
- 1,718
- Open portfolio
- $0.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,718
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.342Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$5.5kat 0.515Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-05-22?
- +$4.9kat 0.380Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$2.4kat 0.550Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
- +$1.5kat 0.430Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:37 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-08 04:18 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-08 02:43 | Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.87 |
| 08-08 02:26 | Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-08 01:04 | LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-08 00:25 | LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.592928 | $59.29 |
| 08-07 17:09 | LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-07 16:43 | LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $87.62 |
| 08-07 15:19 | LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 14:19 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-07 12:43 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $500.00 |
| 08-07 12:35 | Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.79 |
| 08-07 11:12 | Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.4299999979 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 10:10 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 08-07 09:26 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |