Realmrjimmy
0x8d7a21359a46bd5c27b2ebf22f1324436e51276f
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.1kat 0.054US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$5.4kat 0.289US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$2.1kat 0.240US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$1.5kat 0.127US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$464.28at 0.091US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 23:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0479999983 | $26.50 |
| 08-01 23:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $7.47 |
| 08-01 23:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $340.00 |
| 08-01 23:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.1998 | $99.90 |
| 08-01 23:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $11.92 |
| 07-29 17:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $42.91 |
| 07-29 17:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $190.00 |
| 07-27 22:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 07-27 22:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $119.60 |
| 07-27 22:34 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.935 | $512.86 |
| 07-25 19:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.37 |
| 07-24 22:48 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $49.22 |
| 07-24 22:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.13 | $237.45 |
| 07-24 22:46 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $115.19 |
| 07-15 05:03 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.0271946107 | $42.40 |