Alex-xx
0x8d2aa022b7d70701c94f5b8bb66f34503c6fb380
- Realised P&L
- $-101.77
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 5,531
- Open portfolio
- $0.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,531
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.27at 0.090Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?
- +$10.36at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?
- +$8.58at 0.500Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$7.27at 0.470Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$6.63at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 12:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0186915888 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.91 |
| 08-04 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.609999815 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 10:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7199999808 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 10:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0192454088 | $2.60 |
| 08-04 09:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.96 |
| 08-04 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.03 |
| 08-04 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.56 |
| 08-03 10:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8299998589 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 10:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 10:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5148514597 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |