0x8cb3847851A810eeA254CDF97530959F0925b8ed-1728133386349
0x8cb3847851a810eea254cdf97530959f0925b8ed
- Realised P&L
- $-980.21
- Volume
- $567.0k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.01at 0.998Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
- +$12.83at 0.997Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$11.17at 0.997Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$10.55at 0.972Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$10.15at 0.993Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 13:20 | Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $118.12 |
| 05-20 13:20 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.994 | $471.99 |
| 05-17 17:38 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | SELL | 0.988 | $0.95 |
| 05-17 17:38 | Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.995 | $346.22 |
| 05-17 17:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $118.00 |
| 05-17 17:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.993 | $471.99 |
| 05-15 20:14 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $117.54 |
| 05-15 20:13 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $325.39 |
| 05-15 20:13 | Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $472.03 |
| 05-15 20:13 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9863182754 | $153.27 |
| 05-15 20:13 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $117.89 |
| 05-15 20:13 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.9780596726 | $494.66 |
| 05-15 20:13 | Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.982 | $0.32 |
| 05-15 20:12 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $81.90 |
| 05-14 16:01 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $248.76 |