lunalou
0x8c98c1861504bcbd2f8c62a9a3e86a828dea9da3
- Realised P&L
- $-171.56
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $19.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.40at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
- +$21.93at 0.634Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$20.96at 0.682Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$19.23at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
- +$18.97at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001507639 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.89 |
| 08-08 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001022771 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0085714287 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.209999888 | $1.20 |
| 08-08 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0016941572 | $1.00 |