basedd
0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88
- Realised P&L
- $31.7k
- Volume
- $7.98M
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $135.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.6kat 0.001US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$69.5kat 0.318Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$56.8kat 0.053Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
- +$30.3kat 0.449Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$29.8kat 0.194US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.0128835508 | $100.06 |
| 08-02 01:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $49.12 |
| 08-02 01:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.85 | $12.65 |
| 08-02 00:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.4k |
| 08-01 23:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.79 | $2.1k |
| 08-01 23:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.78 | $141.52 |
| 08-01 23:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.78 | $866.58 |
| 07-14 23:40 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.227 | $616.26 |
| 06-17 21:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $101.8k |
| 06-17 18:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.4k |
| 06-17 18:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.4k |
| 06-14 23:17 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $76.75 |
| 06-09 16:39 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $5.4k |
| 06-08 13:37 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3038293424 | $535.31 |
| 06-07 22:29 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.03 | $52.57 |