PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

basedd

0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88

Realised P&L
$31.7k
Volume
$7.98M
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$135.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.536$64.4k+$4.4k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.464$55.6k$4.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.7840.987$4.6k+$932.43
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8800.935$2.5k+$145.84
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · No0.7400.840$933.24+$111.10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7100.905$823.94+$177.53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.2200.145$755.60$390.83
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes0.3710.373$165.61+$0.89
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · No0.4200.385$128.21$11.65
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.0130.013$104.85+$4.79
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.0190.003$16.75$112.30
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$63.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:24Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.0128835508$100.06
08-02 01:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.07$49.12
08-02 01:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.85$12.65
08-02 00:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.78$1.4k
08-01 23:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.79$2.1k
08-01 23:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.78$141.52
08-01 23:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.78$866.58
07-14 23:40Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.227$616.26
06-17 21:10US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.999$101.8k
06-17 18:50US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.997$9.4k
06-17 18:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.998$9.4k
06-14 23:17US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.05$76.75
06-09 16:39Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.82$5.4k
06-08 13:37Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.3038293424$535.31
06-07 22:29Iran closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.03$52.57