partyballoon
0x8bf1a0edc32cbfaeb2684a319c425edc416c5800
- Realised P&L
- $-5.56
- Volume
- $24.13
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $10.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by August 31? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.400 | $3.77 | −$1.23 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No | 0.811 | 0.669 | $3.60 | −$0.76 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by August 31? · No | 0.820 | 0.360 | $2.20 | −$2.80 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.365 | $1.18 | −$0.82 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8109999974 | $4.36 |
| 08-02 04:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 04:08 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by August 31? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 04:08 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by August 31? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |