0x8BcEa5F6eC99f67786Ba249058D3aa83bF6266f7-1781892130457
0x8bcea5f6ec99f67786ba249058d3aa83bf6266f7
- Realised P&L
- $44.23
- Volume
- $526.50
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $10.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.205 | $10.18 | −$4.82 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of June 29 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.20 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.32 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of July 27 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.60 |
| Spain to score first vs. Argentina? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.68at 0.584Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$18.57at 0.380Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$18.00at 0.550Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$10.20at 0.490Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.60at 0.570Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of July 6 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:38 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3019480401 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 21:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 19:13 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 19:11 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:09 | Spain to score first vs. Argentina? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:08 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 17:54 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 07-07 19:03 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 07-06 19:23 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 07-06 15:03 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 07-06 14:53 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 07-06 03:08 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 07-06 01:20 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 07-06 01:09 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 07-02 17:14 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |