Lstone16
0x8b42c0b1e49b2d0f734edd25b2306f3ec272405a
- Realised P&L
- $73.64
- Volume
- $311.2k
- Markets traded
- 868
- Open portfolio
- $32.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded868
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.55at 0.544Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?
- +$202.40at 0.323Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?
- +$156.08at 0.432Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
- +$147.23at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1?
- +$143.31at 0.116Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 08-04 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1718518519 | $4.64 |
| 08-04 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $13.60 |
| 08-04 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-04 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0083243243 | $0.62 |
| 08-04 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.228 | $5.70 |
| 08-04 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.90 |
| 08-04 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0434321887 | $3.52 |
| 08-04 00:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2645 | $26.45 |
| 08-03 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.239852 | $23.99 |
| 08-03 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.5594591971 | $80.69 |
| 08-03 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0255494286 | $1.79 |
| 08-03 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.63 |
| 08-03 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.9765387874 | $242.07 |