0x8Ae5AC948CDd67ae99c2514A8CF265846a415cBb-1770236783497
0x8ae5ac948cdd67ae99c2514a8cf265846a415cbb
- Realised P&L
- $2.40
- Volume
- $339.20
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $40.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.48at 0.668Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$3.29at 0.820US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.250US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.78at 0.418Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.69at 0.650Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:04 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:59 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:59 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:58 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 18:08 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 22:14 | FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 22:13 | FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa? | BUY | 0.8499999717 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 12:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 12:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 02:44 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0589999464 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 07:39 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 07:37 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 15:25 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |