0x8AB272B937746C2b7D40d1ce33a9Af909F024250-1755540569316
0x8ab272b937746c2b7d40d1ce33a9af909f024250
- Realised P&L
- $-3.98
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $98.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joshua James be the TN-04 Republican nominee? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $34.08 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $31.11 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $19.38 | −$0.02 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $13.61 | +$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17? · No | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.25at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
- +$0.24at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$0.23at 0.998Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?
- +$0.23at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
- +$0.12at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99899997 | $19.40 |
| 08-05 22:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.60 |
| 08-05 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989999525 | $12.40 |
| 08-05 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.70 |
| 08-05 12:03 | Will Joshua James be the TN-04 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.10 |
| 07-31 01:22 | Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.90 |
| 07-31 00:15 | Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in July? | SELL | 0.997 | $6.43 |
| 07-31 00:13 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $7.72 |
| 07-31 00:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.66 |
| 07-30 19:15 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.9989999672 | $7.74 |
| 07-30 17:35 | Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.45 |
| 07-30 16:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July? | BUY | 0.9989999791 | $14.68 |
| 07-30 13:15 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.90 |
| 07-30 11:10 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? | BUY | 0.9989999432 | $10.40 |
| 07-30 09:38 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.30 |