PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

catgrino

0x8aa6417e742ecf8056aa0db05f551e6e69776316

Realised P&L
$-419.36
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
616
Open portfolio
$3.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded616
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 10:23Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?SELL0.1$4.07
06-18 10:36Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.2761837097$10.88
06-15 09:57Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?SELL0.35$13.91
06-12 15:50Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?SELL0.15$3.00
06-12 01:56Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?SELL0.64$13.24
06-10 00:09Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.19$19.29
06-09 14:51Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?SELL0.270798722$16.95
06-09 14:51Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?SELL0.29$1.45
06-09 13:51Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.18$20.12
06-09 13:46Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?SELL0.29$20.64
06-08 11:27Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?SELL0.3346861405$16.16
06-07 14:43Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?SELL0.13$8.71
06-07 11:59Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?SELL0.85$17.80
06-06 23:31Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?SELL0.27$19.08
06-06 04:16Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?SELL0.2$2.07
Trader catgrino · PolyBot