Amano-Hina
0x8aa29c27241b6909a7c4d6cb4f400267aa215a0b
- Realised P&L
- $13.0k
- Volume
- $486.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,174
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,174
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$946.35at 0.473Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 15?
- +$942.72at 0.393Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 15?
- +$849.08at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?
- +$770.61at 0.494Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?
- +$705.92at 0.523Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.6499999854 | $6.70 |
| 08-08 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.70 |
| 08-08 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.6099999954 | $6.70 |
| 08-08 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 08-08 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 08-08 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 08-08 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 08-08 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.53211675 | $5.40 |
| 08-08 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.59 |
| 08-08 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.52 | $0.08 |
| 08-08 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.04 |
| 08-08 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 08-08 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 08-08 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 08-08 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |