0x8A2DA05aA34C483B88853258cc4dEA3771F127b4-1775341837782
0x8a2da05aa34c483b88853258cc4dea3771f127b4
- Realised P&L
- $-7.11
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $11.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.100 | $11.56 | +$1.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.16at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
- +$12.11at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$9.83at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$4.71at 0.515Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$-9.50at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 09:34 | Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.086538454 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5148208722 | $4.65 |
| 04-06 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 6? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.00 |
| 04-05 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 6? | BUY | 0.3430313092 | $18.69 |
| 04-04 23:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | SELL | 0.2419826384 | $15.61 |
| 04-04 23:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $9.22 |
| 04-04 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $18.39 |
| 04-04 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $37.45 |
| 04-04 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $18.59 |
| 04-04 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.1763686275 | $4.50 |
| 04-04 23:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $14.07 |
| 04-04 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $31.54 |
| 04-04 22:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $18.88 |
| 04-04 22:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $19.45 |
| 04-04 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $9.27 |