hoddzz
0x8a16e17dc2fe04cf79e86463a052b77f68199a98
- Realised P&L
- $-183.30
- Volume
- $30.4k
- Markets traded
- 463
- Open portfolio
- $17.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded463
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.25at 0.490Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$27.54at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$27.02at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$27.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$26.52at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-05 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-05 16:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 08-04 22:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 22:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 22:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-04 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.0034669842 | $0.74 |
| 08-04 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.1452854812 | $1.78 |
| 08-04 16:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 08-04 16:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $7.65 |
| 08-04 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 08-04 15:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |