ShowMeTheMonie
0x89f403172316ad7da33e61016b10c3745c1ffd1c
- Realised P&L
- $-11.55
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $5.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? · No | 0.968 | 0.971 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? · No | 0.810 | 0.855 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 5? · No | 0.920 | 0.935 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.645 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.445 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Up | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.09at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$2.33at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
- +$1.56at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$1.33at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$0.82at 0.550Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9679999884 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:37 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 11:04 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 4? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 10:57 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 10:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 10:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 10:49 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 20:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 14:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.01 |
| 07-30 14:03 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 13:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9509999905 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 13:37 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |