PolyBot

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Traders

0x89420ddcef49b50c3538047ee0c50e76e21a1812

Realised P&L
$-3.77
Volume
$82.98
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$15.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6700.999$3.11+$1.02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7500.999$2.78+$0.69
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2800.290$2.16+$0.07
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.4200.425$2.11+$0.02
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.4200.365$1.82$0.27
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2300.130$1.18$0.91
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3000.114$0.79$1.30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7700.275$0.75$1.34
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.4000.100$0.52$1.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:38Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4199999236$2.09
08-04 08:30Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4199999236$2.09
08-04 00:29Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4$2.09
08-03 16:28US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2799999303$2.09
08-03 08:26Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2999999282$2.09
08-02 21:14Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2299999285$2.09
08-02 01:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.7699999484$2.09
08-01 16:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.6699997852$2.09
08-01 16:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7499997309$2.09
08-01 06:09Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 22:08Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999264$2.08
07-31 14:07Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.3499999246$2.09
07-31 05:37New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999264$2.08
07-30 19:51New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999264$2.08
07-29 21:29Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95