164492815
0x88f316220dfa76faa64f8467dbc0d3456dca9215
- Realised P&L
- $-498.55
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $17.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.00at 0.318Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$19.71at 0.690Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
- +$11.80at 0.710Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3?
- +$8.81at 0.940France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5
- +$8.70at 0.569Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.24658 | $4.93 |
| 08-04 21:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 21:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |