68392
0x88dec155ce96d5beddccae8ec76b46863bba4d89
- Realised P&L
- $1.70
- Volume
- $324.27
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $8.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No | 0.939 | 0.963 | $4.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.835 | $1.86 | −$0.14 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? · Yes | 0.978 | 0.984 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.970 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| MLS: Whitecaps to announce relocation by the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.520 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.98 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.13at 0.640Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$0.66at 0.820Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 20?
- +$0.30at 0.952Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
- +$0.30at 0.976Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$0.30at 0.770Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 15:01 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 12:48 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.9669999932 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 08:32 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.9689999889 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 15:46 | Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? | BUY | 0.9779999883 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 09:19 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 05:42 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9839996576 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 01:12 | Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 08:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 14:50 | Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520? | BUY | 0.9889998383 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 11:48 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499995725 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 12:05 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 01:30 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 12:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999884 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 07:57 | Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 02:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.00 |