PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

wasd

0x88d9ddeca7fc5b0ec49b29f4df16662485f0ae29

Realised P&L
$-676.40
Volume
$61.8k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$16.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.1900.685$13.70+$9.90
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? · Yes0.0020.002$2.06$0.32
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · No0.0570.007$0.14$1.00
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? · Yes0.1360.005$0.11$2.61
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? · No0.3070.004$0.10$9.09
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m? · Yes0.1150.001$0.04$9.16
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.80
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 29? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$0.85
Will Trump say "Top Five" or "Top Ten" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$2.70
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$8.40
Will "Moana" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 29? · No0.0800.000$0.00$0.92
Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$3.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:43Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?BUY0.001$0.20
08-02 09:58Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?BUY0.046$0.46
08-01 22:04Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.19$3.80
07-31 19:40Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?BUY0.136$2.72
07-31 19:36Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m?BUY0.002$0.09
07-31 19:35Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m?SELL0.001$0.03
07-30 15:46Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?BUY0.26$5.20
07-30 15:44Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m?BUY0.171$5.13
07-29 20:10Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.057$1.14
07-29 20:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 29?BUY0.01$0.17
07-29 20:01Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 29?BUY0.05$0.85
07-29 20:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 29?BUY0.08$0.92
07-29 09:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?BUY0.31$3.10
07-29 09:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?BUY0.07$1.05
07-28 21:47Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?BUY0.04$1.20