PolyBot

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Traders

9507

0x88cc2e5c93831cdf4aa6eb94ea6b65e6c718076c

Realised P&L
$10.57
Volume
$468.45
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$6.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9500.963$2.03+$0.03
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? · Yes0.9870.984$1.99$0.01
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$1.02+$0.02
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.9570.970$1.01+$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET · Up0.2660.000$0.00$1.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.7600.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 13:58Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.985$2.00
07-14 12:47Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?BUY0.985$2.00
07-10 09:47Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?BUY0.9869999956$2.00
07-09 15:31Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9779998709$2.00
07-01 09:06Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.9569999904$1.00
06-25 01:45Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.985999999$2.00
06-23 10:03Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9749995247$2.00
06-18 12:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9759999922$2.00
06-13 13:41Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.95$2.00
06-09 02:34SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?BUY0.9869997202$2.00
06-04 08:55Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in June?BUY0.984$2.00
06-02 00:30Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?BUY0.9889999955$2.00
05-28 07:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.994$4.65
05-28 07:34Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?BUY0.962$2.00
05-22 07:18Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?BUY0.9839996576$2.00