revan0681
0x886abd51ebe523efd2520246e154196543740944
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $1.31M
- Markets traded
- 2,931
- Open portfolio
- $225.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,931
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.979 | 0.928 | $151.75 | −$8.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 7? · No | 0.980 | 0.980 | $15.15 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 7? · No | 0.980 | 0.985 | $15.15 | +$0.08 |
| Exact Score: Vietnam 1 - 1 Cambodia? · No | 0.980 | 0.975 | $14.99 | −$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 7? · No | 0.980 | 0.890 | $13.76 | −$1.39 |
| Will Cambodia win on 2026-08-07? · No | 0.977 | 0.974 | $11.93 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 7? · No | 0.936 | 0.935 | $1.55 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? · No | 0.978 | 0.957 | $1.07 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.62at 0.210Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$37.47at 0.920Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
- +$36.65at 0.920Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8PM ET
- +$36.65at 0.920Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11PM ET
- +$36.08at 0.120Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.15 |
| 08-07 11:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $164.23 |
| 08-07 11:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $164.28 |
| 08-07 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.07 |
| 08-07 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-07 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.978 | $14.95 |
| 08-07 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.15 |
| 08-07 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.15 |
| 08-07 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.936 | $14.32 |
| 08-07 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.07 |
| 08-07 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.07 |
| 08-07 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.983 | $15.09 |
| 08-07 11:03 | Exact Score: Vietnam 1 - 1 Cambodia? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.06 |
| 08-07 11:03 | Will Cambodia win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.977 | $11.97 |
| 08-07 11:03 | Aston Villa vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.979 | $139.47 |