PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8823f4a1d3fd15927c584a940f712bd210a5b7e5

Realised P&L
$-0.63
Volume
$33.42
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$16.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6701.000$3.27+$1.08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7501.000$2.92+$0.73
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.7600.930$2.68+$0.49
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.670$2.33+$0.14
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.815$2.29+$0.10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.825$2.26+$0.07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7500.375$1.09$1.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$2.19
08-04 01:29Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6299999799$2.19
08-03 17:28Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.7599998195$2.19
08-03 09:28Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2599999406$2.19
08-02 21:09Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7799999288$2.19
08-02 01:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.75$2.19
08-01 16:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.66999974$2.19
08-01 16:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.75$2.19
08-01 05:16Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99