0x8823f4a1d3fd15927c584a940f712bd210a5b7e5
- Realised P&L
- $-0.63
- Volume
- $33.42
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $16.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes | 0.670 | 1.000 | $3.27 | +$1.08 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.750 | 1.000 | $2.92 | +$0.73 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.930 | $2.68 | +$0.49 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.670 | $2.33 | +$0.14 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.815 | $2.29 | +$0.10 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.825 | $2.26 | +$0.07 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.750 | 0.375 | $1.09 | −$1.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-2.19at 0.260Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.19 |
| 08-04 01:29 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999799 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 17:28 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998195 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 09:28 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999406 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 21:09 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7799999288 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 01:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 16:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.66999974 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 16:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 05:16 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |