PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x87fdEF0817aFfd83244CAe0A923057A4Ff06d3EE-1782249926833

0x87fdef0817affd83244cae0a923057a4ff06d3ee

Realised P&L
$-14.42
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$32.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1400.435$3.11+$2.11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.5501.000$1.82+$0.82
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? · No0.4200.660$1.57+$0.57
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.4600.655$1.42+$0.42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.7600.960$1.26+$0.26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.895$1.13+$0.13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7960.887$1.11+$0.11
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.935$1.09+$0.09
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI? · No0.9610.994$1.03+$0.03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.775$1.03+$0.03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8600.885$1.03+$0.03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9570.979$1.02+$0.02
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.8800.895$1.02+$0.02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8900.905$1.02+$0.02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9100.925$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 19:47Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.006999993$1.00
07-22 19:47Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0127425997$1.00
07-22 19:46Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1059999082$1.00
07-22 19:46Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-22 19:46Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
06-25 08:04Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
06-25 08:03Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
06-25 08:03Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
06-25 08:03Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-25 08:03Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
06-25 08:00GTA VI released before November 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
06-25 07:59Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
06-25 07:59Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?BUY0.0370000014$1.00
06-25 07:58Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?BUY0.0359999663$1.00
06-25 07:57GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.8799995072$1.00