PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x87E7FCEE78E26DcE7d9604d73a1c24110641d0B5-1770804565016

0x87e7fcee78e26dce7d9604d73a1c24110641d0b5

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$33.2k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$625.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration93.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? · Yes0.1950.905$377.22+$295.92
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1490.135$98.19$10.63
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2030.207$93.38+$1.98
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.085$56.79$17.75
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? · No0.1390.000$0.00$159.95
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.7650.000$0.00$17.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31? · No0.1840.000$0.00$55.27
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31? · No0.0750.000$0.00$191.68
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$38.33
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$6.73
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$140.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 22:59Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$18.00
07-24 19:53AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?SELL0.86$97.76
07-24 19:52AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?SELL0.87$174.00
07-10 18:42Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0619999985$38.33
07-10 18:35AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?SELL0.8680212766$40.80
07-06 23:05Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2$10.00
07-06 23:05Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.145$10.15
07-06 23:04Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
07-02 23:49Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.157$10.99
07-02 23:47Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.157$10.99
07-02 23:47Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.205$10.25
07-02 23:47Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$12.00
07-02 23:46Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$18.00
07-02 23:45Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.205$10.25
07-02 23:45Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.157$10.99