Lagodna
0x873e363f2bf977f33dd959569c6eb852ea934ef4
- Realised P&L
- $508.87
- Volume
- $2.36M
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $35.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.18at 0.001Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$57.66at 0.001Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$45.03at 0.007Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$27.43at 0.001Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$24.05at 0.002Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 09:30 | Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.975 | $19.50 |
| 05-30 20:28 | Will Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | SELL | 0.941 | $18.82 |
| 05-29 20:12 | Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.46 |
| 05-29 15:38 | Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 04-28 17:38 | Will Cameron Norrie be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 04-28 17:34 | Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 17:32 | Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $9.00 |
| 04-28 17:32 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $9.00 |
| 04-28 17:31 | Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $9.00 |
| 04-28 17:31 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 04-28 17:29 | Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $7.50 |
| 04-28 17:28 | Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $3.60 |
| 04-28 17:27 | Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 04-28 17:26 | Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 04-28 17:26 | Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.00 |