jntgfcbnv
0x86e16fa5a73ad3bdb83e19eb2b11e4921072c0e4
- Realised P&L
- $11.25
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 8? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $2.3k | +$1.16 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $999.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $108.80 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.90at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 19?
- +$1.33at 0.999Will the price of XRP be less than $1.80 on November 24?
- +$1.33at 0.999Will the price of XRP be above $2.70 on November 23?
- +$1.33at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 21?
- +$1.33at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.3k |
| 08-06 02:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 05-20 04:15 | Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? | SELL | 0.2 | $22.93 |
| 03-21 01:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.90 |
| 03-19 11:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 11-25 03:41 | Will XRP reach $6.00 in November? | BUY | 0.9979999843 | $33.80 |
| 11-24 11:36 | Will the price of XRP be less than $1.80 on November 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 11-24 01:12 | Will Solana dip to $110 November 17-23? | BUY | 0.999 | $376.00 |
| 11-24 01:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 November 17-23? | BUY | 0.999 | $955.13 |
| 11-22 12:14 | Will the price of XRP be above $2.70 on November 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 11-21 01:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 11-20 01:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 11-19 01:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 11-19 01:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 19? | BUY | 0.997 | $244.62 |
| 11-17 11:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |