0x868B55a7eA069B45e6B2dD41Da80fce08b0Cf600-1765388701607
0x868b55a7ea069b45e6b2dd41da80fce08b0cf600
- Realised P&L
- $50.86
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 788
- Open portfolio
- $51.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded788
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.64at 0.407Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on July 22?
- +$28.33at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$27.04at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3?
- +$22.09at 0.352Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$20.30at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5714285714 | $8.00 |
| 08-05 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.5299999982 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.6622581458 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3300970611 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7145660291 | $10.52 |
| 08-01 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4019607488 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.5259308704 | $16.35 |
| 07-29 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.0439292731 | $2.24 |