PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

light2026

0x85d22a973e817f87afe0a7fd346a39823cce7479

Realised P&L
$9.8k
Volume
$410.7k
Markets traded
1,589
Open portfolio
$110.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,589
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 07:09Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8?BUY0.26$1.82
08-08 07:07Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8?SELL0.7$57.92
08-08 07:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8?BUY0.3577777778$16.10
08-08 07:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8?BUY0.1615589554$6.12
08-08 07:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 8?BUY0.07$2.10
08-08 07:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 8?BUY0.05$0.25
08-08 06:59Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8?BUY0.69$13.80
08-08 06:57Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 8?BUY0.65$6.50
08-08 06:50Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8?SELL0.5443076923$8.84
08-08 06:50Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8?BUY0.52$16.12
08-08 06:47Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 8?SELL0.1$2.25
08-08 06:47Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8?BUY0.15$1.95
08-08 06:47Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8?BUY0.1411396011$2.97
08-08 06:30Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8?SELL0.31$1.55
08-08 06:30Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8?BUY0.23$1.15
Trader light2026 · PolyBot