gosssl64
0x85ae82e837e2f3b6a61ba4688afa6cd0fbf50529
- Realised P&L
- $30.38
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $41.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.495 | $19.41 | −$0.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.380 | $14.82 | −$0.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.075 | $3.82 | −$1.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.065 | $3.25 | +$1.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.02at 0.604Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7?
- +$16.91at 0.709Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 6?
- +$8.49at 0.791Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?
- +$5.90at 0.732US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$1.64at 0.902Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 22:27 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.40 |
| 08-07 22:26 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3949358974 | $15.40 |
| 08-07 22:26 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.51 | $9.80 |
| 08-07 22:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-07 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 08-07 17:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $74.85 |
| 08-07 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.83 |
| 08-07 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.12 |
| 08-07 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9302865969 | $2.72 |
| 08-07 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 08-07 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 08-07 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.65 | $14.00 |
| 08-07 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.63 |
| 08-07 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |