0x8593F09C283080b1c0510c8FC0d04832Bb2382F5-1782741281510
0x8593f09c283080b1c0510c8fc0d04832bb2382f5
- Realised P&L
- $-219.61
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $226.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.785 | $78.50 | −$3.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? · No | 0.560 | 0.635 | $63.50 | +$7.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.075 | $37.01 | +$14.23 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.089 | $22.51 | +$0.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.125 | $12.86 | +$0.51 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.130 | $6.50 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.090 | $3.38 | −$0.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or below on August 6? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.012 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $0.97 | −$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.60at 0.016Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4?
- +$-1.85at 0.642Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?
- +$-16.10at 0.264Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?
- +$-22.23at 0.163Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4?
- +$-80.11at 0.322Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 08-05 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 08-05 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.40 |
| 08-05 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.34 |
| 08-04 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.22 | $0.60 |
| 08-04 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-04 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.31 |
| 08-04 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.20 |
| 08-04 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 08-04 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 08-04 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 08-04 12:22 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.32 | $67.51 |