sadgstella
0x8559f368ac106692f0cf407302fccf772791f751
- Realised P&L
- $75.13
- Volume
- $176.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,859
- Open portfolio
- $99.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,859
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.75at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?
- +$0.60at 0.994Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
- +$0.51at 0.995Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.50at 0.995Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-03-29?
- +$0.40at 0.996Exact Score: Kyrgyz Republic 0 - 0 Kenya?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:42 | Will ŽNK Mura vs. FCV Farul Constanţa end in a draw? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-04 13:07 | Counter-Strike: Finishers vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group A | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-04 11:21 | Istanbul 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Paul Inchauspe | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-04 00:23 | ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-03 19:24 | Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 08-03 05:43 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-31 21:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-31 21:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-29 00:32 | Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-28 16:51 | Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-28 16:51 | Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-27 07:31 | Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-27 02:27 | NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-26 18:24 | FC St. Gallen 1879 vs. FC Zurich: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-26 12:17 | Yanbian Longding vs. Meizhou Hakka: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |