emapol3
0x853aca4f2df53ae6881d106bae6757eef4ef1a9f
- Realised P&L
- $-0.09
- Volume
- $125.78
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $93.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.08at 0.934Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$0.08at 0.936Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?
- +$0.07at 0.937Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
- +$0.07at 0.939Will Hallie Shoffner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Arkansas?
- +$0.07at 0.939Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-03 21:27 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 21:27 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.932 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 21:27 | Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 17:09 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:09 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:09 | Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:08 | Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.938 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:08 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:08 | Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:08 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:08 | Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:08 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:08 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:08 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million? | BUY | 0.936 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:08 | Will AleXa win Melodifestivalen 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |