dimontheslayer
0x84b7668fc1b629f522ddaf0a469ba3dddcad0254
- Realised P&L
- $11.19
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $235.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.978 | 0.976 | $51.70 | −$0.13 |
| Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? · No | 0.957 | 0.969 | $50.95 | +$0.60 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · No | 0.966 | 0.958 | $50.77 | −$0.42 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.938 | $46.88 | −$0.92 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.983 | 0.969 | $34.85 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.48at 0.920No one announced as next James Bond?
- +$2.50at 0.950Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$2.17at 0.959Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$0.90at 0.938Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.71at 0.961Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 13:27 | Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 04-20 07:52 | Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | BUY | 0.957999999 | $20.10 |