xloxlo
0x8478619fee706f2fdf19ec72d4e253b256b6d8a1
- Realised P&L
- $-43.38
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $127.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.895 | $44.75 | +$0.25 |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.355 | $34.29 | −$5.35 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.627 | 0.595 | $32.79 | −$1.74 |
| FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.105 | $4.26 | +$0.20 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? · No | 0.790 | 0.845 | $4.02 | +$0.26 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.578 | 0.465 | $2.33 | −$0.57 |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.455 | $2.27 | +$0.17 |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? · Yes | 0.611 | 0.645 | $2.02 | +$0.11 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · No | 0.090 | 0.085 | $0.60 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.40at 0.209Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?
- +$1.60at 0.830Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
- +$0.40at 0.670Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?
- +$0.00at 0.370Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$0.00at 0.770Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?