lixianlong
0x844c5bb85e2c152b2b3e00b2e4886b38099c93f3
- Realised P&L
- $-4.07
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,331
- Open portfolio
- $30.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,331
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.52at 0.420Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score
- +$0.56at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$0.55at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
- +$0.48at 0.780Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$0.46at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.50 |
| 08-06 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9099999675 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7899995803 | $1.60 |
| 08-06 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.839999952 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999751 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999696 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 13:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999469 | $1.60 |
| 08-06 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.50 |
| 08-06 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8899996949 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 09:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9099999757 | $1.50 |
| 08-06 02:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999757 | $1.50 |
| 08-06 02:01 | Will Modena FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.963999989 | $2.10 |
| 08-06 01:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.60 |
| 08-06 01:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999809 | $1.40 |