PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

abolgari

0x8432544ce97d33027c3d829f28f8d70288e88360

Realised P&L
$5.5k
Volume
$320.9k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$13.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.2030.135$8.8k$4.4k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.3080.225$2.7k$990.66
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3530.365$868.57+$29.28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$510.00$90.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1770.118$200.85$99.15
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0700.044$188.68$111.32
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3020.295$177.00$4.19
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0450.022$150.52$149.47
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.0600.028$140.04$167.94
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0540.048$87.17$12.83
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$2.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$2.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$12.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? · Yes0.6470.000$0.00$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 08:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.24$163.69
07-13 09:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.31$620.00
07-12 17:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.31$176.70
07-12 12:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.33$1.3k
07-10 06:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.17$701.34
07-08 12:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.18$718.56
07-08 12:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.18$1.1k
07-08 12:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.9919955683$7.9k
07-08 11:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.32$1.1k
07-07 22:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.21$696.46
07-07 22:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.2$122.10
07-07 22:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.19$571.90
07-07 22:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.18$102.05
07-07 17:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.25$4.1k
07-07 14:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.24$214.84