Team-of-clairvoyants
0x842a27a44cb5bc53e694b8c88e0258168f43e47f
- Realised P&L
- $198.26
- Volume
- $60.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,174
- Open portfolio
- $64.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,174
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.47at 0.064US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$148.13at 0.120Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$84.09at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$81.44at 0.107Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$66.10at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 08-07 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.88 |
| 08-07 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or below on August 7? | BUY | 0.0014095492 | $3.00 |
| 08-07 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or below on August 7? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or below on August 7? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 08:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $2.02 |
| 08-07 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-06 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.00 |
| 08-06 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 19:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.29 |