JudasPr13st
0x83e8f2ea25df8e71fcaf2271c9edaae02860b9bc
- Realised P&L
- $-436.72
- Volume
- $74.6k
- Markets traded
- 328
- Open portfolio
- $343.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded328
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.982 | $209.33 | −$1.66 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 7? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.977 | $88.05 | −$1.13 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 7? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.982 | $46.18 | −$0.35 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 11? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$640.58 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? · Yes | 0.921 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.38 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 11? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.53at 0.878Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on April 24?
- +$156.99at 0.890Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on April 27?
- +$126.12at 0.880Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 6?
- +$111.32at 0.680Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 8?
- +$56.10at 0.944Meta (META) Up or Down on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 10:12 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $88.49 |
| 08-07 10:11 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 7? | BUY | 0.989 | $46.53 |
| 08-07 10:10 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 7? | BUY | 0.989 | $89.18 |
| 08-07 10:10 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? | BUY | 0.989 | $5.14 |
| 08-07 10:10 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? | BUY | 0.989 | $6.43 |
| 08-07 10:10 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? | BUY | 0.989 | $8.11 |
| 08-07 10:09 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? | BUY | 0.989 | $10.09 |
| 08-07 10:09 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? | BUY | 0.989 | $12.66 |
| 08-07 10:09 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? | BUY | 0.989 | $55.38 |
| 08-07 10:09 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7? | BUY | 0.988 | $24.70 |
| 08-06 19:07 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $343.49 |
| 08-06 12:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.981 | $337.03 |
| 08-05 17:26 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.51 |
| 08-05 17:26 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $291.97 |
| 08-05 08:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $307.56 |