0x83C5E02f4656359a746bA0768259AD4Db8820A0d-1767882860867
0x83c5e02f4656359a746ba0768259ad4db8820a0d
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $106.3k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $162.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$891.46at 0.574Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$543.54at 0.634Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$498.47at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$466.66at 0.071Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$377.93at 0.346Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.76 |
| 08-08 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-08 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.2067188031 | $12.16 |
| 08-07 19:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1109082882 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 19:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.1793531224 | $12.81 |
| 08-07 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.2799999916 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.1888930865 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 05:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4724246687 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 05:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999954 | $100.00 |